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Asylum and Migration - The nexus

 

(Paper presented by Gerry Van Kessel, Coordinator, Intergovernmental Consultations on Asylum, Refugee and Migration Policies for Europe, North America and Australia, Geneva to the Sixth International Metropolis Conference in Rotterdam, 27 November 2001) 

 

Much is heard these days, from all sides, of the shortcomings of the Geneva Convention.  In discussing the challenges from the perspective of a policy maker, one must begin not with the problems facing the Convention but rather with praise for its successes.  The millions and millions of refugees - the UNHCR estimates the number as 50 million - who since the end of the Second World War have received protection and built new productive lives are a tribute to the Convention and to its signatory States.  The Geneva Convention is a reflection of the public value that countries place on refugee protection not as a matter of choice but as a legal obligation.  In raising the challenges facing refugee protection, therefore, what is at question is not the principle of refugee protection as defined by the Convention but rather balanced and effective responses to the challenges that asylum systems face and have been facing for two decades.  Correct responses will ensure better refugee protection. 

 

The 1951 Geneva Convention relating to the Status of Refugees and the 1967 Protocol defines who is a refugee, who is not deserving of refugee protection (a provision receiving greater attention since September 11) and the rights of refugees in such areas as employment, travel documents, mobility and social security.  The procedures for determining refugee protection are not defined in the Convention but are left to signatory States to establish and implement.  By signing the Convention the State assumes the legal obligation of not "refouling" those it finds to be refugees and gives up its sovereign right to determine who shall be allowed to remain within its borders. 

 

It is important to note that blaming the Convention for slow procedures and excessive levels of appeal is incorrect.  That is a State responsibility.  The State puts in place laws and processes that reflect its own traditions and constitutional arrangements.  The courts have been key to defining what these procedures and interpretations should be.  The result of these State arrangements is a process that is considered, fair but often slow.

 

The basic challenge facing the Convention in western States is the volume of asylum seekers, less because most of the asylum seekers are refugees but more because they are not.  It is well known that the population of the world is growing rapidly, principally in the developing world, and that the economic and social opportunities for them in their own countries cannot keep pace.  The International Organisation for Migration (IOM) reports that in 1965 there were 65 million persons outside their country for at least a year.  By 2000 this had grown to 150 million.  About 10 per cent are refugees.  Most remain in the region of origin but with the revolution in communications and transportation increasing numbers know there is a better life for them and their families elsewhere and are able to leave their region and for the wealthier countries of the North.  In the North, there are too few - about 2.5 to 3 million - places for them as legal immigrants.  (The numbers strongly indicate that even a very large increase in legal migration would be insufficient to absorb the demand).  This leaves the remainder with difficult choices.  Most opt for becoming illegal migrants and entering the underground labour market.  Others make asylum claims.

 

Since 1990 there have been about 5.5 million asylum claims made in Europe, North America and Australia.  About 1 million were successful, about the same number received the right to remain on other protection and on humanitarian grounds and the rest were refused.  This phenomenon of persons applying for refugee protection for other than protection needs is what is called  "mixed flows" and is now the subject of a major international debate in the context of the Global Consultations that the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) on the fiftieth anniversary of the Convention.  The reason that people not needing protection apply for asylum is obvious.  They want a better life for themselves and their children and believe that their chances of realising that goal are greater if they apply for asylum.  The next question is why applying for asylum enhances that prospect.

 

The issue of non-refoulement, that is, of not sending someone back to his country where he or she would face persecution is of the highest importance.  It requires high procedural standards and safeguards, ones that are of obvious interest to courts and which courts have helped define.  Time is needed to make, hear and decide the claim.  The intricacies of the law and the issues usually require lawyers.  The lack of knowledge of the asylum seeker of the language means interpreters.  The importance of the issue means that appeals are essential to ensuring correct decisions.  These factors make it clear that the result is a slow process.  For those needing protection this means a prolonged period of uncertainty before they can proceed to rebuild their lives.  For those not needing protection a slow process is what they want.  They know the outcome of their claim and appeals will be negative.  For them the issue is remaining as long as they can, to work legally if that is allowed and illegally if not and to build a case to be allowed to remain on humanitarian grounds.

 

The facts in asylum cases can be hard to verify creating problems for legitimate asylum seekers and for decision makers.  The alleged events happened far way, may seem implausible and yet be true.  This becomes an opportunity for those asylum seekers applying for reasons other than protection.  Often assisted by smugglers, consultants and lawyers they manufacture facts that appear plausible but cannot be verified. Many asylum seekers destroy their travel and other identity documents not because that is what they have to do to get into a country of asylum (it occurs after boarding the aircraft to the final destination) but because the lack of identity makes the job of the decision maker more difficult.   For decision makers the challenge is to distinguish asylum claims that have merit from those that do not despite the similarity of the alleged facts.  As well, they need to avoid becoming disenchanted with all asylum seekers because of the lengths those not needing protection will go.

 

The importance of prompt processing is obvious but making asylum processes function efficiently and effectively is a major management and administrative undertaking.  There is a close three-way relationship between procedures, staff (decision makers and support staff) and volumes.  If there are sufficient well trained staff to apply the procedures and to handle the volume of asylum seekers and the procedures are not too complex there is a reasonable chance of an efficient and effective process.  What cannot be managed and what cannot be predicted is volumes.  These can change very quickly, certainly more quickly than obtaining increases in staff.  The result is longer processes and longer assured stay in the country.

 

It is well know that States with large backlogs of cases ay resort to amnesties because they cannot process all the claims and, even if they did, they could not remove all the unsuccessful claimants.  The amnesty is accompanied by an announcement of new legislation, processes and resources that will avoid new backlogs.  Amnesties reward those who applied for asylum but reasons other than protection.  They gain the right to remain and, in many cases, the right to bring their families to join them.

 

Another reason for making an asylum claim is that, even if the claim is unsuccessful and the right to remain legally for reasons other than protection is not granted, the logical result of a negative decision - removal from the country and return to their own country - is unlikely.  Few States have a good record of returning unsuccessful asylum seekers.  Unsuccessful claimants who do not leave voluntarily do not find it difficult to remain underground.  States do not provide the resources needed to locate and remove them.  Even when they are located, it is often difficult to obtain the travel documents for their return.   Certain States are unwilling to take back their nationals by refusing to issue the necessary travel documents.  This is well known to unsuccessful asylum seekers and the smugglers and others who counsel them.  For the public the question is why States have such extensive and expensive processes if the result - remaining in the country - is the same whether the applicant is successful or not.  He or she gets to stay.  For the unsuccessful asylum seeker remaining as an illegal, while far less attractive than having the legal right of residence, is better that returning.

 

These factors together place States in very difficult positions.  They have to find a way to maintain their international obligation not to refoule and their sovereign right to manage who enters and remains.  Because asylum seekers comprise mixed flows, State responses to asylum flows include measures such as accelerated procedures and manifestly unfounded provisions that are aimed at those applying for reasons other than refugee protection. To restrict the volumes gaining access to their countries States have introduced to varying degrees controls outside their borders.  These include visas, airline control officers and transportation company penalties.  At the same time States have added resources to all aspects of migration and asylum management.  More resources for asylum systems are intended to ensure quicker processing and therefore to reduce the attractions of the asylum processes for those not needing protection.  More resources for migration control mean fewer migrants are able to enter the country and more are removed to give effect to negative asylum decisions.

 

One result of the move to strengthened entry controls is that illegal entry has become more difficult.  The pressure to migrate, however, has not diminished.  Rather than turn to small time smugglers who are unable to overcome these new controls, migrants and asylum seekers have turned to organised crime.  Organised crime has the organization, the talent and the reach to circumvent pre-entry controls such as visas with sophisticated security features, to evade the heightened vigilance of airlines and to arrange alternate transportation if that is necessary.  This means, of course, that the cost and the danger to the persons being smuggled and trafficked have increased. 

 

The problem is that as long as there remains a reasonable chance of success in remaining in countries of destination, there will be a market for organized crime to respond to the demand.  There is therefore an inconsistency between the measures States are using to manage entry and the reward States provide to those successful in evading these controls.  The alternative of no border controls and large scale illegal migration is not an answer that States have an ability to manage and their publics have shown a willingness to accept. 

 

For persons needing protection the added restrictions placed by States on entry may place them in a very difficult situation even if, as is the case, these restrictions are almost always applied in other signatory States.  States and the UNHCR have only started to discuss how to ensure protection for persons affected by migration and border controls.  While some argue that States are obligated to allow the entry and illegal stay of all persons claiming a need for asylum, the experience of States is that this would result in the entry of very large numbers of persons, not just those seeking economic betterment but as well criminals, terrorists and war criminals.  The subject for debate therefore has to be not whether border control measures should remain but how to provide protection within the framework of border controls.

 

There is another result of the current situation.  States are spending very large amounts of money on asylum.  The cost of these systems and providing for the accommodation and living expenses of about 500,000 claimants who arrive each year is US$10 billion annually.  Most of the costs are for the majority of claimants not needing protection who exhaust the legal and administrative avenues to challenge the negative asylum decision.  This amount contrasts with the annual budget of the UNHCR.  The UNHCR has a budget well below US$1 billion annually to look after the needs of about 22 million refugees and other persons of concern.  States that receive 40,000-50,000 asylum seekers annually spend at least, and probably more than, the total UNHCR budget.  The contrast is between what is being spent on so many not needing protection and on what is not being spent on those who are refugees and are in squalid and inhuman refugee camps.

 

All of this creates confusion in the minds of the public about asylum seekers.  Just as States face difficulties distinguishing between those needing protection and those not needing it, so has the public difficulty making these distinctions. The result is that public support for asylum systems is often weak and can turn negative as asylum systems face their periodic crises.  This needs to be contrasted with strong public support for refugees when the issues are clear.  Almost always this has involved large scale refugee situations involving resettlement.  Examples include Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Uganda, Chile, Indochina and most recently Kosovo.  The latter is an example of strong support for refugees at a time of public doubts about asylum.  The challenge is how to manage asylum systems in a way that draws out the support of the public for refugees.

 

This brings us to the point of asking whether the nexus can be broken.  To suggest that in today's world of enduring migratory pressures there will not be a time when people do not seek to take personal advantage of systems that will give them a better life, even if that is not the purpose of the system, is unrealistic.  At the same time there have to measures that balance refugee protection and migration management.

 

One of the outcomes of the Global Consultations of the UNHCR in dealing with mixed flows is the realisation that whereas there is an international framework for dealing with refugees there is none for migration. It is increasingly obvious that migratory pressures are global in nature and cannot be dealt with unilaterally or bilaterally.  Even so-called sending countries are finding that they are also countries of destination and transit.  Almost all countries are finding that they have to respond to migratory movements.  Multilateral arrangements and understandings that incorporate the concerns of sending, transit and receiving States may be closer than we thought even a few years ago.

 

Some call for higher legal migration to offset the pressure facing asylum systems from economic migrants.  This assumes that asylum seekers fit the labour market needs of  receiving countries, an assumption that appears doubtful.  It assumes as well that the increase in legal migration will be enough to reduce the economic migrants who use asylum systems to make their migration intentions known. 

 

There is some discussion of regional processing centers for refugees so that they will not have to resort to smugglers and traffickers and the dangers of transportation to get protection.  That is worthy of further examination.  It deals with the issue raised above of       

protection within migration control frameworks.  Would it, however, result in refugees getting protection but economic migrants continuing to risk all to make claims in States as their way of migrating?  If so, the asylum systems will have fewer persons needing asylum than is now the case with the result that they will be more criticised than they currently are.

 

In this debate what is clear is that asylum seekers, both those needing protection and those who do not, claim asylum to obtain residency.  For refugees the right to remain is the durable solution to his or her protection needs.  For asylum seekers claiming for reasons other than protection the chances are reasonable that the outcome will still be residency.  If not de jure residency, then they opt as a last resort for de facto residency.  This contrasts with refugees in camps.  They have protection but no durable solution because there is no right of residency.  Is there a way to delink protection and residency?   It as an issue of great complexity and of no easy answer.

 

More resettlement makes sense.  It has public support because it avoids the confusion inherent in asylum systems.  It deals with people in camps, most of who cannot pay smugglers and traffickers and in that way find their own durable solution, and for whom the other durable solutions of repatriation and local integration are not available.  For those who have been in refugee camps for many years it reduces the pressure to resort to smugglers to go to countries with mature asylum systems and good economic and social prospects.  Finally, and it is an observation that needs examination, it is surprising that there is as much difference as there is between the  top ten source countries for refugee resettlement and for asylum seekers.

 

The issues outlined above are of vital importance.  A broad debate is needed if answers are to be found that deal with the various aspects of this complex issue starting with the need to protect refugees and to allow States to exercise sovereignty with respect to those who are not in need of protection.  Public support for refugees exists but it has to be to be maintained.